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Modelling the impact of climate change on agriculture in Europe

Code: 9781801469142
Mirek Trnka and Rudolf Brázdil, Global Change Research Institute CAS, Czech Republic; Lorenzo Brilli, Institute for BioEconomy (IBE) – National Research Council (CNR), Italy; Hannah C. von Czettritz und Neuhaus, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Germany; Sergi Costafreda-Aumedes, Institute for BioEconomy (IBE) – National Research Council (CNR), Italy; Petr Dobrovolný, Petr Holub and Karel Klem, Global Change Research Institute CAS, Czech Republic; Matthias Kuhnert, University of Aberdeen, UK; Luisa Leolini, University of Florence, Italy; Marco Moriondo, Institute for BioEconomy (IBE) – National Research Council (CNR), Italy; Nina Muntean, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Czech Republic; Jørgen Eivind Olesen, Aarhus University, Denmark; Markéta Poděbradská, Vera Potopová, Petr Štěpánek and Otmar Urban, Global Change Research Institute CAS, Czech Republic; and Peter Zander and Claas Nendel, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Germany

Chapter synopsis:

The agricultural land represents the most important form of land use, accounting for almost 48% of the European land area. Europe- Despite its relatively small share of global agriculture land total area (9.8%), has been one of the world’s largest and most productive suppliers of food and fibre. Europe accounted for 17.6% of the global cereal production during 2014–2018, and average yields in EU countries were 6.8% higher than the world average in the same period. As this chapter shows the climate change will pose substantial challenge for provisioning but also for other ecosystem services. The role of modelling in managing impacts and developing adaptation strategies is crucial as demonstrated through several examples. As the agroecosystem models are treasure troves of agronomy knowledge, their further development should be seen as on of the research priorities within the continent´s agricultural research.



DOI: 10.19103/AS.2022.0115.14
£25.00
Table of contents
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 Past climate and future projections for Europe
  • 3 Agricultural systems across Europe
  • 4 Agricultural system modelling: models and platforms
  • 5 Modelling and experimental work on impacts of climate change: case studies
  • 6 Future trends and conclusion
  • 7 Where to look for further information
  • 8 Acknowledgements
  • 9 References

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